Smith Ranch, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Aug 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Smith Ranch, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Smith Ranch offers real opportunities for buyers, and the balance keeps tilting their way:

Based on 10 homes sold in the 3 months ending August 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through August 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$564K
▼ Down 37.4% from August 2025
Down $336K from August 2025
Homes Sold
10
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$3,856/mo
7.28% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$3,086
  • Property Tax$587
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
111 days
▲ 37 more days than in August 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
▲ Up from 97.5% in August 2025
Selling 2% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
0%
No homes sold above asking. Few bidding wars right now
Active Listings
6
▼ Down 28.3% from August 2025
About 1.9 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Smith Ranch.

Median Sale Price
Down 37.4% year-over-year in Smith Ranch. Based on 10 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
100% more homes sold than a year ago in Smith Ranch.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is down 36% from a year ago in Smith Ranch, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.28%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Smith Ranch, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Smith Ranch, San Rafael?

Smith Ranch, San Rafael is a buyer's market. Extended market times, price reductions, and motivated sellers give buyers strong negotiating leverage. Well-structured offers below asking can succeed here.

How do Smith Ranch, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $564K, Smith Ranch, San Rafael's median sits about 68% below the Bay Area average of $1.78M. Smith Ranch, San Rafael is among the most accessible parts of the Bay Area.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 57% below the city-wide median of $1.30M.

By home type:

  • Condos at $628K
  • Townhomes at $510K
What price range should I budget for in Smith Ranch, San Rafael?

Prices in Smith Ranch, San Rafael depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:

  • Condos at $628K
  • Townhomes at $510K

Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.

How competitive is Smith Ranch, San Rafael for buyers?

Smith Ranch, San Rafael is a buyer's market:

  • Homes sell about 2% below asking on average
  • 0% close above list price
  • 111 days typical time to go pending
  • 28% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: well-structured offers below asking can succeed here.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Smith Ranch, San Rafael home?

At $564K with 20% down at 7.28%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $3,856:

  • $3,086 principal and interest
  • $587 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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