Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Aug 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Dominican-Black Canyon leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Here's where things stand:

Based on 7 homes sold in the 3 months ending August 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through August 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$2.10M
▼ Down 4.6% from August 2025
Down $101K from August 2025
Homes Sold
7
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$13,859/mo
7.28% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$11,489
  • Property Tax$2,186
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
22 days
▼ 8 fewer days than in August 2025
Homes typically sell within a month
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
▼ Down from 106.3% in August 2025
Selling 1% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
43%
43% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
6
▼ Down 50.4% from August 2025
About 2.7 months of supply. Moderate selection available

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Dominican-Black Canyon.

Median Sale Price
Down 4.6% year-over-year in Dominican-Black Canyon. Based on 7 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
40% more homes sold than a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is down 4% from a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.28%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Buyers still have leverage to negotiate, but the window may be narrowing.

How do Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $2.10M, Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.78M.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 61% above the city-wide median of $1.30M.

How competitive is Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael for buyers?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael currently leans toward buyers:

  • Homes sell about 1% below asking on average
  • 43% close above list price
  • 22 days typical time to go pending
  • 38% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: a well-structured offer near or below list price has a good chance of success.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home?

At $2.10M with 20% down at 7.28%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $13,859:

  • $11,489 principal and interest
  • $2,186 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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