Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Aug 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:

Based on 6 homes sold in the 3 months ending August 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through August 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.21M
▼ Down 11.2% from August 2025
Down $153K from August 2025
Homes Sold
6
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$8,096/mo
7.28% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$6,647
  • Property Tax$1,265
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
54 days
▼ 17 fewer days than in August 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.6%
▲ Up from 98.9% in August 2025
Selling at or near asking price
% Sold Over Asking
50%
50% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
6
About 3.2 months of supply. Moderate selection available

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill.

Median Sale Price
Down 11.2% year-over-year in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill. Based on 6 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is down 10% from a year ago in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.28%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.

How do Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.21M, Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael's median sits about 32% below the Bay Area average of $1.78M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

This is close to the San Rafael city-wide median of $1.30M.

By home type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.45M
  • Condos at $575K
What price range should I budget for in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael?

Prices in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.45M
  • Condos at $575K

Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.

How competitive is Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael for buyers?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael is a balanced market where neither side dominates:

  • Homes sell about 2% above asking on average
  • 50% close above list price
  • 54 days typical time to go pending
  • 16% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home?

At $1.21M with 20% down at 7.28%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $8,096:

  • $6,647 principal and interest
  • $1,265 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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