DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
Data through Aug 2026
Orinda is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:
Based on 61 homes sold in the 3 months ending August 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Updated weekly.
Data through August 2026
See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Orinda.
Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.
The median sale price in Orinda is $2.00M — up 5% from $1.90M in October 2021. Over that stretch, the median peaked at $2.30M in June 2022 and bottomed at $1.65M in January 2025. That's right in line with the area's 5-year average of $1.94M. Each point is the median of a rolling 3-month window of closings, so the curve runs smoother than any single month; the multi-year direction is the signal.
What buyers actually pay has moved more than the sticker price suggests: a typical monthly payment (20% down, principal & interest) is about $10,275 today, up 58% from $6,524 in October 2021. Most of that increase comes from mortgage rates (3.1% then vs. 6.7% now), not prices — at October 2021 rates, today's median would run about $6,863/mo.
Seasonally, the three months ending in June have been the busiest stretch for closings in Orinda over the past 5 years (about 77 sales in that window on average, vs. 32 for the stretch ending in February). That's an average across just 5 observations per month, so treat it as a tendency, not a rule.
Orinda is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.
At $2.00M, Orinda's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.78M.
Orinda is a balanced market where neither side dominates:
Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.
At $2.00M with 20% down at 7.28%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $13,205:
HOA fees are extra.
→“Mel did an amazing job helping us buy our first home. When we first met her, we had done literally zero of the steps needed to buy a house, and 28 days later we closed.”
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“Mel did an incredible job helping me find and purchase my first home! She was very responsive, professional, and knowledgeable.”
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